Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan St Spartans
7:00 PM EST 1-26-2023
Iowa travels to Mich St to try and bounce back from it’s first loss of 2023. Iowa is a legendary NCAAB team and they are surely have their eyes on starting off a new winning streak. They are facing the Michigan State Spartans who have lost 3 of their last 4 games. In short, both teams are going to be trying their hardest to avoid starting a losing streak in this contest.
Michigan State is a Solid 8-2 at home this season despite recent setbacks and Iowas recent success. Iowa is just 1-6 ATS against a team with a winning record and Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-1 ATS in general. They have won 18 of their last 20 home games against Iowa. This is a massive trend in home court advantage but we can’t rely solely on that.
The Hawkeyes rely on their offense to win games… they rank high in nearly every offensive statistic. The Spartans however are ranked 34th in Defense and will throw a wrench in that gear. Their offense is decent as well, ranking 52nd for adjusted efficiency with very capable scores in Tyson Walker, AJ Haggard, and Joseph Hauser. Iowas defense is struggling and less than stellar.
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I think this will be a close game but The Hawkeyes are not doing too well on the road and The Spartans is just DOMINATING at home. The trends tell us all we need to know but also I believe that Michigan St’s stronger defense is more import than Iowas stronger offense. I am however going to go conservative with this one and not back the spread but the money line which is not too bad at -140.
Free Pick - Michigan St-140 ML (PRO) 10 UNIT