GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
7:30 PM EST 1-20-23
Golden State visits the greatest American city of them all … Cleveland (Sorry if I offended anyone) to face off against the Cavs. The Warriors put up one hell of a fight last night in Boston and it looks like Cavaliers might be playing without Mitchell (questionable). However …without Mitchell, the Cavaliers can still contend; although, it severely impacts their firepower against a Warriors offense that is finding its rhythm and Golden State have not been doing Well on the road this season. Meanwhile The Cavaliers have also suffered some tough losses of late, losing their last three straight up by a combined 11 points.
Cleveland has dropped in the Eastern Conference standings a bit in recent weeks but still sits in a comfortable fifth place, while Golden State has fallen to 6 in the Western Conference.
The last time these two teams played the defense was stellar but the offense had issues. Cleveland managed just 101 points in the loss of 106-101 – something they’ll need to improve upon if they want to cover a hefty spread.
If we look at some Stats…On offense, the Cavaliers are scoring 111.6 points per game and they have shot 48.2% from the floor. This is the 26th most points scored per contest and the seventh-highest team shooting percentage. Warriors is scoring 117.5 points per game and they have shot 47.3% from the floor. This is the fourth most points scored per contest and the 16th-highest team shooting percentage. On Defense the Cavaliers are currently allowing 107.1 points per game and their opponents have only shot 46.5% from the field. This is the least amount of points surrendered per game and the eighth-lowest shooting percentage allowed…They have been hard to beat in this aspect. The Warriors are surrendering 117.9 points per game and their opponents have shot 46.9% from the floor. This is the 26th least amount of points given up per contest and the 10th lowest shooting percentage allowed.
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The Warriors have had their fair share of struggles this season and have been terrible ATS on the road, especially against good teams, but this is a game that I believe is coverable. They put up an amazing fight last night in Boston and I am expecting the same tonight in Cleveland. Sure, they are back to back on the road but they are due for a comeback and this is is too high of a spread. In the event Mitchell misses, Golden State should be able to keep things tight after their OT collapse in Boston last night…possibly winning outright. Mitchell being playing might be a game-time decision so I will be playing conservatively backing Warriors spread on this one as a 10 UNIT (PRO) play.
Free Pick - WARRIORS+11.5 5 UNIT (PLAYER) System
***Curry is out and the line has changed... I am still backing it but now as a 5 Unit Play***
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